August 1, 2002: Headlines: Peace Corps Directors - Shriver: Gare Research: Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall

Peace Corps Online: Peace Corps News: Directors of the Peace Corps: Peace Corps Founding Director Sargent Shriver: Sargent Shriver: Archived Stories: August 1, 2002: Headlines: Peace Corps Directors - Shriver: Gare Research: Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall

By Admin1 (admin) (pool-151-196-239-147.balt.east.verizon.net - 151.196.239.147) on Tuesday, August 24, 2004 - 5:28 pm: Edit Post

Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall

Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall

Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall

8th Congressional District Democratic Primary

It's a toss-up! Delegate Mark Shriver leads Senator Chris Van Hollen by one slim point in the four-way race to challenge Congresswoman Connie Morella this fall. Shriver captures 31% of the Democratic primary vote to Van Hollen's 30%, with former Clinton administration official Ira Shapiro coming in third with 14%, and perennial candidate Deborah Vollmer bringing up the rear with 4%. Twenty-one percent of the primary electorate remains undecided, a pretty sizeable number with just three weeks to go before Election Day.

Shriver is recognized by all but 5% of the Democratic primary electorate, and favorably by 57%. His negatives (14%) are twice as high as Van Hollen's (8%), though, who gets a 51% favorable rating while still unknown to 18% of the voters. Shapiro's overall name ID is a respectable 79%. His positives (28%) are half that of Shriver's, and 44% of voters have a neutral opinion of Shapiro. Vollmer's name is recognized by 54% of Democratic primary voters in District 8, but positively by only 9%.

Shriver owes a great deal of his margin to African-American voters. He's getting 41% of the black vote, while Van Hollen earns 14%. Significantly, 38% of African-Americans are still undecided. Van Hollen, on the other hand, is winning with white voters (34% to Shriver's 29%). Shapiro gets 16% of the white vote, and Vollmer 5%. Sixteen percent of white voters are undecided.

Shriver leads Van Hollen with men (33% to 24%), while Van Hollen leads among women (35% to 29%). Shapiro gets 17% of men, and 11% of women. Vollmer, the only female in the primary contest, gets 6% of women, but just 1% of men. More men (25%) than women (19%) have yet to make up their minds.

With 21% undecided and oodles of money yet to be spent, this race could go either way. Van Hollen still has the opportunity to introduce himself to 18% of the voters, but Shriver's familial advantage with black voters is an important component in the electoral equation as well. Whatever the outcome of the primary, the winner better catch his breath: He'll be facing Connie Morella, who is viewed favorably by 54% of the Democratic primary voters in the 8th Congressional District.





When this story was prepared, here was the front page of PCOL magazine:

This Month's Issue: August 2004 This Month's Issue: August 2004
Teresa Heinz Kerry celebrates the Peace Corps Volunteer as one of the best faces America has ever projected in a speech to the Democratic Convention. The National Review disagreed and said that Heinz's celebration of the PCV was "truly offensive." What's your opinion and who can come up with the funniest caption for our Current Events Funny?

Exclusive: Director Vasquez speaks out in an op-ed published exclusively on the web by Peace Corps Online saying the Dayton Daily News' portrayal of Peace Corps "doesn't jibe with facts."

In other news, the NPCA makes the case for improving governance and explains the challenges facing the organization, RPCV Bob Shaconis says Peace Corps has been a "sacred cow", RPCV Shaun McNally picks up support for his Aug 10 primary and has a plan to win in Connecticut, and the movie "Open Water" based on the negligent deaths of two RPCVs in Australia opens August 6. Op-ed's by RPCVs: Cops of the World is not a good goal and Peace Corps must emphasize community development.


Read the stories and leave your comments.






Some postings on Peace Corps Online are provided to the individual members of this group without permission of the copyright owner for the non-profit purposes of criticism, comment, education, scholarship, and research under the "Fair Use" provisions of U.S. Government copyright laws and they may not be distributed further without permission of the copyright owner. Peace Corps Online does not vouch for the accuracy of the content of the postings, which is the sole responsibility of the copyright holder.

Story Source: Gare Research

This story has been posted in the following forums: : Headlines; Peace Corps Directors - Shriver

PCOL13607
83

.


Add a Message


This is a public posting area. Enter your username and password if you have an account. Otherwise, enter your full name as your username and leave the password blank. Your e-mail address is optional.
Username:  
Password:
E-mail: